Signal Deck

A plain-English read on six major crypto assets — live chart signals blended with a dated macro and news layer.

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New here? How to read this deck

One score, two halves

Each card ends in a single percentage. It is 55% live chart signals, computed in your browser from the last 100 days of prices, and 45% a hand-written read of news, policy and fund flows.

What the words mean

62% and above reads Bullish, 42% and below reads Bearish, and anything between the two reads Neutral — which usually means the chart and the news are pulling against each other.

The news half is dated

Prices refresh every time you open the page. The news read does not: it carries the date stamp shown below and only changes when the deck is rebuilt.

Scores move on written rules

The news score runs from −2 to +2 and only moves when a rule written down in advance is met — a flow number crossing a level, a vote happening, an upgrade shipping. Not on a feeling about the tape.

This is one research read, built by Claude, and it can be wrong. It describes what has happened and what the rules say — it does not know what you own, what you can afford to lose, or what you should do next. Treat it as one input beside your own work.

Market backdrop

The six things in the wider world currently doing the most to move these prices — central bank pricing, US legislation, ETF money, energy and shipping.

Research as of —

The six signals

Prices and chart indicators are live. Open Why this read on any card for the full reasoning and the dated catalysts behind its news score.

Rotation watch — perp DEX narrative

When to rotate HYPE into a same-narrative challenger (ASTER, LIT). The logic: you rotate out of the leader when the leader’s moat is measurably eroding — not when a challenger’s price is rising. Price momentum in a challenger is usually just higher beta on the same trade. Market data below is live; volume and fee figures are a dated research layer refreshed with the rest of the deck.

Table scrolls sideways on a phone.

Plain-English glossary

Every term this page uses that a beginner has no reason to already know.

Open the glossary

Spot ETF flow: Money moving into or out of US funds that hold the coin itself. A positive session means the funds bought more than they sold that day. Reported per fund, one trading day at a time.
Settled session: A completed trading day whose flow figures have been published. Weekends and US holidays have none, and a freshly posted row can still be revised upward for a day or two.
Moving average (SMA): The average closing price over the last 20 or 50 days. Price above it is usually read as an uptrend, below it as a downtrend.
RSI: A 0–100 gauge of how one-sided recent moves have been. Above 70 is often called overbought, below 30 oversold. It measures pace, not value.
MACD: The gap between two moving averages. Positive means short-term momentum is running ahead of the longer trend; negative means it is lagging.
Basis point (bp): One hundredth of a percentage point. A 25bp rate move is 0.25%. Bond yields move in these, so a 4.1bp fall is a small one.
Cloture: The US Senate vote that ends debate so a bill can proceed. It needs 60 of 100 senators. Failing it stalls the bill without killing it outright.
Unlock / cliff: A date when tokens held by a team or early investor become sellable. A large one is known supply arriving on a known day.
Perp (perpetual future): A leveraged contract tracking a price with no expiry date. Perp exchanges earn fees on the volume they route.
TVL and FDV: TVL is the value of assets deposited in a protocol. FDV is what the token would be worth if every coin that will ever exist already traded.
Take rate: Fees earned per dollar traded, in basis points. It is the clearest test of whether a venue can charge for volume or is renting it with incentives.
Pre-break level: A fixed reference price this deck measures against, set before the current move began, so each asset can be compared on the same yardstick.